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BohemiansvsSt Joseph S Fc
Form indicates a clear offensive superiority of Bohemians, who dominated in recent matches and far exceed the visitors with an average of 2.91 goals per match, who have only scored in 1 of 4 season matches.
Home advantage in the Conference League and full match fitness from the Irish league (spring-autumn) highlight Bohemians' physical advantage against the team from Gibraltar at the start of their pre-season.
We see the main risk in Bohemians' recent loss to amateur Finglas United (0:1) and in St Joseph's defensive block, which can frustrate the home team and lead to a draw.
Even without odds from the bookmaker, several models indicate value in the home win – we estimate the fair probability around 75 %, and with a low odds on the home team (below 1.25) there is still slight value.
"Form indicates a clear offensive superiority of Bohemians, who dominated in recent matches and far exceed the visitors with an average of 2.91 goals per match, who have only scored in 1 of 4 season matches."
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