Track record: public, complete and never deleted
Every tipster site claims it wins. There is only one way to check: numbers computed the same way every time, that do not vanish after a losing run. This page shows ours straight from the database — ROI, yield, win rate and a day-by-day breakdown. Below them sits the exact methodology, so you can see what goes into the figures and what does not.
Live figures from the database
The headline values cover the entire settled history. The table underneath covers the last 30 days, day by day. None of it is hard-coded into the text — every value is read from the live API as the page is assembled.
The values come straight from our stats API, which recomputes them on a five-minute cycle — nothing here is more than a few minutes old.
Day-by-day results (last 30 days)
Days without a settled tip are left out — they are not a zero result, just a day with no tip that passed the filter.
| Date | Tips | Wins | Losses | ROI for the day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2026 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -100.0 % |
| 19/10/2026 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -21.5 % |
| 18/10/2026 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -100.0 % |
| 16/10/2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +70.0 % |
| 15/10/2026 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -53.3 % |
| 14/10/2026 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +17.7 % |
| 12/10/2026 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -100.0 % |
| 11/10/2026 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +64.0 % |
| 09/10/2026 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -100.0 % |
| 06/10/2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +44.0 % |
| 05/10/2026 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -100.0 % |
| 27/09/2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +53.0 % |
| Period total | 23 | 9 | 14 | -37.2 % |
Methodology: how these numbers are calculated
A track record without a methodology is just a picture. Here is the whole procedure — including the parts that do not flatter us.
What enters the statistics
Only a tip with a finished match and an assigned result (win or loss). Matches in progress and unsettled tips count towards neither side.
One quality filter for every tip
A tip enters the statistics with a probability of at least 60 % and a value index of at least 1.10. Tips where the model returns SKIP are excluded — they are not bets. The filter is identical for winners and losers and does not move depending on how the month is going.
Flat staking: every tip is 1 unit
No bigger stake on a "safe" pick, no chasing after a loss. Every counted tip carries the same stake, so the result cannot be polished by retroactively betting more on the winners.
The odds used are the ones at publication
Profit is computed from the price recorded when the tip went out — not from the best price that showed up somewhere afterwards. Where the price could not be recorded for a given tip, a conservative fallback of 1.85 is used. We state this because such tips do exist in the history, and without this sentence the number would not be verifiable.
The formulas
ROI = net profit / total stake × 100. Under flat staking, yield is the same number, which is why the two values match — they are not two separate successes. Win rate = winning tips / settled tips × 100.
The period
The four headline values cover the entire history of settled tips. The table covers the last 30 days. Two windows on purpose: the short one shows current form, the long one shows whether that form is more than noise.
What never gets deleted
A losing tip stays in the database after the final whistle and keeps dragging the numbers down. There is no way for us to withdraw a tip after the fact — the statistics are computed from the records, not from a selection made afterwards.
What these numbers do not tell you
Knowing where a track record stops being informative matters as much as the methodology. Three things you cannot read out of these figures:
A short window is not proof
Thirty days is a short stretch in betting. Both a winning streak and a losing streak fit comfortably inside ordinary variance over that span. That is why the full-history figures sit next to the daily data — and even those are not a guarantee.
Your ROI will differ from ours
We compute with the price that was on the market when the tip was published. You bet minutes or hours later, at a different bookmaker, possibly after the price has moved. The same series of tips therefore ends up slightly different for everyone.
The past is not a forecast
A track record says how the model performed on matches already played. It says nothing about the next one. Anyone who shows you a success rate and promises it will continue is promising something they cannot know.
Track record: Futbaldata vs Tipsport and Fortuna
Tipsport and Fortuna both publish editorial tips and previews. Neither puts an aggregate success rate for those tips on a public page. That is not an accusation — their product is the odds and the bet, not the tips, so they have no reason to keep a public ledger of editorial content. For us it is the other way round: the tips are the whole product, so without a public track record we have no argument at all. Each side therefore wins a different column.
| Feature | Futbaldata | Tipsport / Fortuna |
|---|---|---|
| Aggregate success rate of own tips published publicly | ||
| ROI and yield on a dedicated, linkable URL | ||
| Day-by-day breakdown of results | ||
| Losing tips stay inside the statistics | ||
| Published calculation methodology including filters | ||
| Odds fixed at the moment the tip is published | ||
| Ability to place a bet and get paid out | ||
| Licence to operate sports betting in Slovakia |
How to verify a track record — ours or anyone else’s
These are five questions to put to any published success rate. They apply to us exactly as they apply to every other tipster site.
1. Is the sample size stated, or only a percentage?
A success rate without the number of tips behind it is unusable. One hundred percent from three tips is an ordinary week, not a result. Always look for how many tips the figure contains.
2. Is it defined what counts towards the statistics?
If nothing states which tips are counted and which are not, the number can be redrawn at any time by adding or dropping one group of tips. The filter has to be written down in advance and has to apply to winners and losers alike.
3. Are the losses visible?
A track record containing only good days is not a track record. A healthy history has negative days in it — and they are findable, not merely absorbed into an average.
4. Which odds is the profit computed from?
The same series of tips looks entirely different at publication prices versus best available prices. If the source of the odds is not stated, the ROI cannot be checked.
5. Can the number be verified later?
A published success rate only means something if you can come back a month later and check it against what the site put out in the meantime. That is why this page has its own URL instead of being tucked into a homepage section.
See today's tip and hold it against the record
One complete analysis per day is free, with no registration. In a few days you can come back to this page and see how it went.
Frequently Asked Questions
Where do the numbers on this page come from?
Straight from our database, through the same API that feeds the Statistics section on the homepage. The API recomputes the values on a five-minute cycle, so the figures on this page are never more than a few minutes old. If the API does not answer, the page says so and shows no substitute number.
Why are ROI and yield the same?
Because we use flat staking — every tip carries a one-unit stake. With equal stakes, yield (profit per unit staked) is mathematically the same number as ROI. We show both because both terms are in common use, not to make one result look like two.
Why are not all published tips counted?
A tip enters the statistics with a probability of at least 60 %, a value index of at least 1.10 and a pick that is not SKIP. SKIP means "do not bet", so counting it as a bet would make no sense. The filter is a single one, identical for winners and losers, and it is written out in the Methodology section above.
Do you delete tips that lost?
No. A losing tip stays in the database and keeps pulling both the ROI and the win rate down. The statistics are computed from every settled record, not from a selection made after the fact.
Does a good track record mean I will make money too?
No. You bet at different prices, at a different time, and possibly on different tips than the ones counted here. A track record describes how the model performed on matches already played, not what happens in the next one. Betting stays risky even with a positive ROI.
Why do the headline figures cover a different period than the table?
They are two different views. The 30-day table shows current form; the full-history figures show whether that short-term result is more than a swing. Publishing only one of them would give an incomplete picture.
Related pages
Warning: Gambling is prohibited for persons under 18 years of age. Play responsibly. A published success rate describes past tips and is not a promise of future results. Futbaldata does not operate a bookmaker and is not responsible for your betting decisions.